Leverkusen vs Freiburg prediction
Germany Bundesliga · Sunday 18 October 2026, 15:30 WAT
Full timeLeverkusen 2–1 FreiburgResult 1
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
LeverkusenDrawFreiburg
Model 1 ✓
60%20%20%
Market 1 ✓
61%20%19%
Brit Predictor's model rates Leverkusen to win as the most likely result (60%). It gives Leverkusen 60% at home, a draw 20% and Freiburg 20%, so its call is 1: Leverkusen to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 61% / 20% / 19%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.3 for Leverkusen and 1.2 for Freiburg; the single most likely score is 2-1.
Expected goals2.3 – 1.2
Most likely score2-1
Over 2.5 goals68%
Both teams score64%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Leverkusen
Attack 3rd of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.
WWDWL
- W 4-3 at Mainz 2026-10-10
- W 2-0 v RB Leipzig 2026-09-20
- D 2-2 at Augsburg 2026-09-12
- W 4-0 v Union Berlin 2026-09-05
- L 2-3 at Elversberg 2026-08-29
Freiburg
Attack 9th of 18, defence 9th of 18 in the league.
WDWWW
- W 2-1 v Schalke 04 2026-10-11
- D 2-2 at Ein Frankfurt 2026-09-19
- W 5-0 v M'gladbach 2026-09-12
- W 1-0 at Paderborn 2026-09-05
- W 4-1 v Werder Bremen 2026-08-30
From 664 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.
More Germany Bundesliga games on Sun 18 Oct
- M'gladbach vs Hoffenheim · FT 1–2