Cesena vs Avellino prediction
Italy Serie B · Sunday 18 October 2026, 17:15 WAT
Full timeCesena 1–1 AvellinoResult X
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
CesenaDrawAvellino
Model 12 ✗
40%29%31%
Market 1 ✗
41%29%30%
Brit Predictor's model rates Cesena to win as the most likely result (40%). It gives Cesena 40% at home, a draw 29% and Avellino 31%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 41% / 29% / 30%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.4 for Cesena and 1.2 for Avellino; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.4 – 1.2
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams score54%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Cesena
Attack 12th of 20, defence 15th of 20 in the league.
LDDDW
- L 0-2 at Benevento 2026-10-10
- D 1-1 at Juve Stabia 2026-09-18
- D 2-2 v Cremonese 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 v Mantova 2026-09-06
- W 2-1 at Virtus Entella 2026-08-29
Avellino
Attack 9th of 20, defence 13th of 20 in the league.
WLDWW
- W 4-1 v Sampdoria 2026-10-09
- L 1-3 at Ascoli 2026-09-19
- D 1-1 v Palermo 2026-09-13
- W 1-0 at Modena 2026-09-06
- W 3-0 v Vicenza 2026-08-29
From 827 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie B games on Sun 18 Oct
- Juve Stabia vs Sudtirol · FT 3–0
- Sampdoria vs Arezzo · FT 1–2