Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II prediction
Netherlands Eredivisie · Saturday 17 October 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Sparta Rotterdam to win as the most likely result (58%). It gives Sparta Rotterdam 58% at home, a draw 24% and Willem II 17%, so its call is 1: Sparta Rotterdam to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 63% / 20% / 17%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.9 for Sparta Rotterdam and 0.9 for Willem II; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Willem II, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Sparta Rotterdam
Attack 15th of 18, defence 13th of 18 in the league.
- D 3-3 at Go Ahead Eagles 2026-10-10
- L 0-4 v Heerenveen 2026-09-19
- L 1-4 at PSV Eindhoven 2026-09-13
- D 2-2 v Zwolle 2026-09-04
- L 1-2 at Excelsior 2026-08-29
Willem II
Attack 18th of 18, defence 16th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-3 at Utrecht 2026-10-11
- L 0-1 v For Sittard 2026-09-19
- L 1-5 at Ajax 2026-09-15
- D 1-1 at AZ Alkmaar 2026-09-11
- L 0-3 v Excelsior 2026-09-05
From 685 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Netherlands Eredivisie games on Sat 17 Oct
- Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven · FT 2–1
- Telstar vs Feyenoord · FT 3–4