Metz vs Sochaux prediction
France Ligue 2 · Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Metz to win as the most likely result (49%). It gives Metz 49% at home, a draw 34% and Sochaux 17%, so its call is 1: Metz to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 52% / 26% / 22%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.1 for Metz and 0.5 for Sochaux; the single most likely score is 1-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Metz, Sochaux, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Metz
Attack 4th of 18, defence 5th of 18 in the league.
- L 2-4 at Dijon 2026-10-12
- D 2-2 v St Etienne 2026-09-19
- L 0-1 at Red Star 2026-09-14
- W 4-1 v Rodez 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 at Annecy 2026-08-29
Sochaux
Attack 18th of 18, defence 1st of 18 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Boulogne 2026-10-09
- D 1-1 at Laval 2026-09-18
- W 1-0 v Nantes 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 at Pau FC 2026-09-04
- D 0-0 at Clermont 2026-08-28
From 688 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 2 games on Sat 17 Oct
- Nantes vs Dunkerque · FT 2–3
- Red Star vs St Etienne · FT 0–1