Hannover vs St Pauli prediction
Germany 2. Bundesliga · Saturday 17 October 2026, 20:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Hannover to win as the most likely result (37%). It gives Hannover 37% at home, a draw 31% and St Pauli 32%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 40% / 26% / 34%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.1 for Hannover and 1.0 for St Pauli; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on St Pauli, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Hannover
Attack 11th of 18, defence 2nd of 18 in the league.
- L 0-3 at Magdeburg 2026-10-10
- W 2-1 v Bochum 2026-09-20
- L 1-2 at Nurnberg 2026-09-11
- D 2-2 v Karlsruhe 2026-09-04
- W 1-0 at Darmstadt 2026-08-30
St Pauli
Attack 15th of 18, defence 1st of 18 in the league.
- W 2-0 v Karlsruhe 2026-10-11
- D 1-1 at Cottbus 2026-09-20
- W 1-0 v Wolfsburg 2026-09-12
- D 2-2 at Bielefeld 2026-09-04
- L 1-2 v Kaiserslautern 2026-08-30
From 677 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.
More Germany 2. Bundesliga games on Sat 17 Oct
- Wolfsburg vs Heidenheim · FT 3–1
- Greuther Furth vs Braunschweig · FT 2–0
- Kaiserslautern vs Bochum · FT 2–0