Verona vs Catanzaro prediction
Italy Serie B · Friday 16 October 2026, 20:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Verona to win as the most likely result (50%). It gives Verona 50% at home, a draw 20% and Catanzaro 30%, so its call is 1: Verona to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 56% / 24% / 20%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.5 for Verona and 1.9 for Catanzaro; the single most likely score is 2-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Verona, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Verona
Attack 1st of 20, defence 18th of 20 in the league.
- L 2-3 at Modena 2026-10-11
- W 2-1 v Vicenza 2026-09-20
- L 1-3 at Benevento 2026-09-11
- W 5-0 v Arezzo 2026-09-06
- D 1-1 at Padova 2026-08-29
Catanzaro
Attack 4th of 20, defence 17th of 20 in the league.
- L 1-3 v Mantova 2026-10-11
- L 1-2 at Sampdoria 2026-09-19
- W 1-0 v Carrarese 2026-09-12
- L 0-2 at Sudtirol 2026-09-05
- L 1-2 at Pisa 2026-08-30
From 820 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.