Guingamp vs Pau FC prediction
France Ligue 2 · Friday 16 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Full timeGuingamp 1–2 Pau FCResult 2
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
GuingampDrawPau FC
Model 1 ✗
49%23%28%
Market 1 ✗
43%27%30%
Brit Predictor's model rates Guingamp to win as the most likely result (49%). It gives Guingamp 49% at home, a draw 23% and Pau FC 28%, so its call is 1: Guingamp to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 43% / 27% / 30%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.9 for Guingamp and 1.4 for Pau FC; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.9 – 1.4
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals63%
Both teams score63%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Guingamp
Attack 9th of 18, defence 13th of 18 in the league.
LLWDD
- L 0-1 at Nancy 2026-10-09
- L 1-3 v Red Star 2026-09-19
- W 2-1 v Annecy 2026-09-12
- D 2-2 at Reims 2026-09-05
- D 3-3 v Nantes 2026-08-29
Pau FC
Attack 10th of 18, defence 17th of 18 in the league.
WWLDD
- W 3-2 v Laval 2026-10-09
- W 2-0 v Dunkerque 2026-09-18
- L 0-1 at Montpellier 2026-09-11
- D 1-1 v Sochaux 2026-09-04
- D 2-2 at Rodez 2026-08-28
From 683 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 2 games on Fri 16 Oct
- Laval vs Clermont · FT 3–3
- Reims vs Dijon · FT 4–2
- Annecy vs Nancy · FT 1–2
- Grenoble vs Boulogne · FT 0–2