Frosinone vs Sassuolo prediction
Italy Serie A · Friday 16 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Frosinone to win as the most likely result (52%). It gives Frosinone 52% at home, a draw 24% and Sassuolo 24%, so its call is 1: Frosinone to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 39% / 26% / 36%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.8 for Frosinone and 1.1 for Sassuolo; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Frosinone, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Frosinone
Attack 6th of 20, defence 9th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-3 at Napoli 2026-10-10
- W 2-0 v Como 2026-09-20
- D 1-1 at Genoa 2026-09-12
- W 3-2 v Venezia 2026-09-06
- W 3-0 at Fiorentina 2026-08-29
Sassuolo
Attack 9th of 20, defence 15th of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Milan 2026-10-11
- L 1-2 at Monza 2026-09-18
- W 3-2 v Juventus 2026-09-13
- D 2-2 at Bologna 2026-09-06
- W 2-1 v Torino 2026-08-29
From 820 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.