Cottbus vs Nurnberg prediction
Germany 2. Bundesliga · Friday 16 October 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Cottbus to win as the most likely result (44%). It gives Cottbus 44% at home, a draw 20% and Nurnberg 36%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 28% / 21% / 51%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 2.3 for Cottbus and 2.1 for Nurnberg; the single most likely score is 2-2. Careful: there is little recent data on Cottbus, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Cottbus
Attack 2nd of 18, defence 18th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-3 at Darmstadt 2026-10-10
- D 1-1 v St Pauli 2026-09-20
- W 3-0 at Karlsruhe 2026-09-13
- D 4-4 at Wolfsburg 2026-09-05
- L 3-4 v Greuther Furth 2026-08-29
Nurnberg
Attack 4th of 18, defence 6th of 18 in the league.
- D 4-4 v Wolfsburg 2026-10-10
- W 1-0 at Karlsruhe 2026-09-19
- W 2-1 v Hannover 2026-09-11
- D 2-2 at Holstein Kiel 2026-09-05
- W 4-1 v Bielefeld 2026-08-29
From 675 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.
More Germany 2. Bundesliga games on Fri 16 Oct
- Holstein Kiel vs Hertha · FT 0–0