Burnley vs Wolves prediction
England Championship · Friday 16 October 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Burnley to win as the most likely result (50%). It gives Burnley 50% at home, a draw 25% and Wolves 25%, so its call is 1: Burnley to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 33% / 27% / 40%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.7 for Burnley and 1.2 for Wolves; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Burnley, Wolves, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Burnley
Attack 5th of 24, defence 1st of 24 in the league.
- D 2-2 v Charlton 2026-10-13
- W 4-0 at Watford 2026-10-10
- D 1-1 v Derby 2026-09-19
- L 1-3 at Swansea 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 at Wrexham 2026-09-08
Wolves
Attack 3rd of 24, defence 15th of 24 in the league.
- L 1-3 v Bolton 2026-10-13
- L 0-1 at Middlesbrough 2026-10-10
- W 1-0 v West Brom 2026-09-20
- W 1-0 at Sheffield United 2026-09-13
- D 2-2 at Birmingham 2026-09-06
From 1223 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.