Ayr vs Partick prediction
Scotland Championship · Friday 16 October 2026, 20:30 WAT
- Model called X2 ✓ (draw or away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Partick to win as the most likely result (39%). It gives Ayr 27% at home, a draw 35% and Partick 39%, so its call is X2: Partick to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 19% / 23% / 57%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 0.9 for Ayr and 1.2 for Partick; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Ayr
Attack 6th of 10, defence 7th of 10 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Dunfermline 2026-10-10
- W 2-1 at Livingston 2026-10-03
- L 0-1 v Stenhousemuir 2026-09-25
- W 2-0 at Queens Park 2026-09-18
- L 1-3 v Inverness C 2026-09-12
Partick
Attack 5th of 10, defence 2nd of 10 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Livingston 2026-10-10
- W 3-0 v Arbroath 2026-10-03
- D 0-0 v Raith Rvs 2026-09-19
- L 0-1 at Stenhousemuir 2026-09-15
- W 1-0 v Ayr 2026-09-05
From 408 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.