PAOK vs Kalamata prediction
Greece Super League · Monday 12 October 2026, 17:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates PAOK to win as the most likely result (85%). It gives PAOK 85% at home, a draw 11% and Kalamata 4%, so its call is 1: PAOK to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 80% / 13% / 7%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 3.3 for PAOK and 0.7 for Kalamata; the single most likely score is 3-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Kalamata, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
PAOK
Attack 1st of 14, defence 4th of 14 in the league.
- W 3-1 at Panetolikos 2026-09-20
- W 2-0 v Aris 2026-09-13
- L 1-3 at Panathinaikos 2026-09-06
- W 2-1 at Atromitos 2026-08-30
- W 4-0 v Levadeiakos 2026-08-23
Kalamata
Attack 9th of 14, defence 14th of 14 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Panathinaikos 2026-09-20
- W 3-1 v Volos NFC 2026-09-13
- D 1-1 at Atromitos 2026-09-06
- L 0-2 at Panetolikos 2026-08-29
- L 2-3 v Aris 2026-08-22
From 510 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.