Levante vs Sevilla prediction
Spain La Liga · Monday 12 October 2026, 21:00 WAT
Full timeLevante 3–3 SevillaResult X
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
LevanteDrawSevilla
Model 1 ✗
46%25%29%
Market 12 ✗
32%29%39%
Brit Predictor's model rates Levante to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Levante 46% at home, a draw 25% and Sevilla 29%, so its call is 1: Levante to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 32% / 29% / 39%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.6 for Levante and 1.2 for Sevilla; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.6 – 1.2
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams score57%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Levante
Attack 11th of 20, defence 19th of 20 in the league.
LLDWD
- L 1-3 at Villarreal 2026-09-20
- L 2-4 v Barcelona 2026-09-13
- D 0-0 at Malaga 2026-09-06
- W 5-2 v Betis 2026-08-29
- D 0-0 at Osasuna 2026-08-24
Sevilla
Attack 13th of 20, defence 13th of 20 in the league.
LWWDL
- L 1-3 v Barcelona 2026-09-19
- W 1-0 at La Coruna 2026-09-16
- W 1-0 v Valencia 2026-09-11
- D 1-1 at Espanol 2026-09-06
- L 1-3 v Ath Madrid 2026-08-29
From 837 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.