Famalicao vs Alverca prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Monday 12 October 2026, 21:15 WAT
Full timeFamalicao 1–4 AlvercaResult 2
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
FamalicaoDrawAlverca
Model 1 ✗
56%25%19%
Market 1 ✗
50%28%22%
Brit Predictor's model rates Famalicao to win as the most likely result (56%). It gives Famalicao 56% at home, a draw 25% and Alverca 19%, so its call is 1: Famalicao to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 50% / 28% / 22%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Famalicao and 0.7 for Alverca; the single most likely score is 1-0.
Expected goals1.5 – 0.7
Most likely score1-0
Over 2.5 goals39%
Both teams score41%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Famalicao
Attack 9th of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.
WDDDL
- W 4-0 at Nacional 2026-09-19
- D 1-1 v Sp Lisbon 2026-09-13
- D 2-2 at Estrela 2026-09-05
- D 0-0 v Gil Vicente 2026-08-30
- L 0-1 at Santa Clara 2026-08-23
Alverca
Attack 13th of 18, defence 10th of 18 in the league.
WWLDL
- W 1-0 v Rio Ave 2026-09-19
- W 3-1 at Nacional 2026-09-12
- L 1-2 v Sp Braga 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 v Santa Clara 2026-08-29
- L 1-3 at Sp Lisbon 2026-08-22
From 682 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.