Coventry vs Newcastle prediction
England Premier League · Monday 12 October 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Newcastle to win as the most likely result (72%). It gives Coventry 5% at home, a draw 23% and Newcastle 72%, so its call is 2: Newcastle to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 26% / 25% / 49%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 0.3 for Coventry and 1.7 for Newcastle; the single most likely score is 0-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Coventry, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Coventry
Attack 20th of 20, defence 19th of 20 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Nott'm Forest 2026-09-19
- L 0-5 v Brighton 2026-09-13
- L 0-1 at Man City 2026-09-05
- L 0-1 v Hull 2026-08-29
- L 0-3 at Arsenal 2026-08-21
Newcastle
Attack 7th of 20, defence 16th of 20 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Hull 2026-09-19
- L 1-4 at Leeds 2026-09-14
- D 2-2 v Bournemouth 2026-09-05
- W 2-0 at Tottenham 2026-08-29
- D 2-2 v Liverpool 2026-08-23
From 819 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.