St Pauli vs Karlsruhe prediction
Germany 2. Bundesliga · Sunday 11 October 2026, 13:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates St Pauli to win as the most likely result (51%). It gives St Pauli 51% at home, a draw 26% and Karlsruhe 23%, so its call is 1: St Pauli to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 58% / 22% / 20%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.6 for St Pauli and 1.0 for Karlsruhe; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on St Pauli, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
St Pauli
Attack 18th of 18, defence 1st of 18 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Cottbus 2026-09-20
- W 1-0 v Wolfsburg 2026-09-12
- D 2-2 at Bielefeld 2026-09-04
- L 1-2 v Kaiserslautern 2026-08-30
- D 2-2 at Holstein Kiel 2026-08-14
Karlsruhe
Attack 10th of 18, defence 15th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Nurnberg 2026-09-19
- L 0-3 v Cottbus 2026-09-13
- D 2-2 at Hannover 2026-09-04
- L 2-5 v Wolfsburg 2026-08-29
- D 0-0 at Kaiserslautern 2026-08-15
From 672 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.
More Germany 2. Bundesliga games on Sun 11 Oct
- Bochum vs Bielefeld · FT 0–1
- Hertha vs Greuther Furth · FT 2–1