Southampton vs Portsmouth prediction
England Championship · Sunday 11 October 2026, 13:00 WAT
Full timeSouthampton 1–0 PortsmouthResult 1
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
SouthamptonDrawPortsmouth
Model 1 ✓
69%18%13%
Market 1 ✓
65%20%15%
Brit Predictor's model rates Southampton to win as the most likely result (69%). It gives Southampton 69% at home, a draw 18% and Portsmouth 13%, so its call is 1: Southampton to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 65% / 20% / 15%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.5 for Southampton and 1.0 for Portsmouth; the single most likely score is 2-1.
Expected goals2.5 – 1.0
Most likely score2-1
Over 2.5 goals68%
Both teams score58%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Southampton
Attack 2nd of 24, defence 12th of 24 in the league.
LWWDD
- L 1-2 at Wrexham 2026-09-19
- W 4-1 v Bristol City 2026-09-12
- W 3-1 v Swansea 2026-09-08
- D 1-1 at Lincoln 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 at Birmingham 2026-09-01
Portsmouth
Attack 16th of 24, defence 22nd of 24 in the league.
DDWLL
- D 2-2 v Blackburn 2026-09-19
- D 0-0 at Charlton 2026-09-12
- W 2-0 v Cardiff 2026-09-05
- L 0-2 v Derby 2026-09-01
- L 1-2 at Bristol City 2026-08-29
From 1210 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.