Brit Predictor

Besiktas vs Kocaelispor prediction

Turkey Super Lig · Sunday 11 October 2026, 18:00 WAT

Full timeBesiktas 2–1 KocaelisporResult 1

Who wins?

BesiktasDrawKocaelispor
Model 1 ✓
55%31%15%
Market 1 ✓
85%10%

Brit Predictor's model rates Besiktas to win as the most likely result (55%). It gives Besiktas 55% at home, a draw 31% and Kocaelispor 15%, so its call is 1: Besiktas to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 85% / 10% / 5%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.4 for Besiktas and 0.6 for Kocaelispor; the single most likely score is 1-0.

Expected goals1.4 – 0.6
Most likely score1-0
Over 2.5 goals30%
Both teams score33%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Besiktas

Attack 6th of 18, defence 3rd of 18 in the league.

LWWWL
  • L 2-3 at Amedspor 2026-09-20
  • W 3-0 v Erzurumspor 2026-09-11
  • W 2-1 at Fenerbahce 2026-09-05
  • W 6-2 v Corum 2026-08-31
  • L 0-1 at Alanyaspor 2026-08-23

Kocaelispor

Attack 17th of 18, defence 1st of 18 in the league.

WLWWW
  • W 2-0 v Gaziantep 2026-09-19
  • L 0-1 at Galatasaray 2026-09-13
  • W 1-0 v Samsunspor 2026-09-06
  • W 2-1 at Konyaspor 2026-08-29
  • W 2-0 v Amedspor 2026-08-24

From 707 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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