Maritimo vs Porto prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Saturday 10 October 2026, 19:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Porto to win as the most likely result (73%). It gives Maritimo 10% at home, a draw 17% and Porto 73%, so its call is 2: Porto to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 8% / 17% / 75%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 0.7 for Maritimo and 2.2 for Porto; the single most likely score is 0-2. Careful: there is little recent data on Maritimo, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Maritimo
Attack 9th of 18, defence 17th of 18 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Gil Vicente 2026-09-19
- L 1-3 at Moreirense 2026-09-14
- L 0-3 v Benfica 2026-09-05
- L 1-2 at Arouca 2026-08-29
- D 2-2 v Academico Viseu 2026-08-22
Porto
Attack 3rd of 18, defence 1st of 18 in the league.
- W 3-1 v Benfica 2026-09-20
- W 4-1 at Casa Pia 2026-09-12
- W 2-1 v Moreirense 2026-09-04
- W 3-0 at Academico Viseu 2026-08-29
- W 2-0 v Arouca 2026-08-23
From 676 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Portugal Primeira Liga games on Sat 10 Oct
- Academico Viseu vs Estoril · FT 2–1
- Casa Pia vs Santa Clara · FT 0–1