Brit Predictor

Hearts vs St Mirren prediction

Scotland Premiership · Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeHearts 5–0 St MirrenResult 1

Who wins?

HeartsDrawSt Mirren
Model 1 ✓
66%22%12%
Market 1 ✓
68%18%13%

Brit Predictor's model rates Hearts to win as the most likely result (66%). It gives Hearts 66% at home, a draw 22% and St Mirren 12%, so its call is 1: Hearts to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 68% / 18% / 13%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.9 for Hearts and 0.7 for St Mirren; the single most likely score is 1-0.

Expected goals1.9 – 0.7
Most likely score1-0
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams score41%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Hearts

Attack 3rd of 12, defence 2nd of 12 in the league.

DLWWW
  • D 1-1 at Kilmarnock 2026-09-19
  • L 1-2 at Falkirk 2026-09-15
  • W 2-1 v Dundee 2026-09-06
  • W 3-1 at Hibernian 2026-09-03
  • W 2-1 v St Johnstone 2026-08-29

St Mirren

Attack 12th of 12, defence 7th of 12 in the league.

LLLWD
  • L 0-3 v Dundee United 2026-09-19
  • L 0-1 at Rangers 2026-09-09
  • L 1-2 v Celtic 2026-09-05
  • W 1-0 at Kilmarnock 2026-09-02
  • D 3-3 v Motherwell 2026-08-30

From 498 league matches since 2024-08-03, recent games weighted more.

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