Ceuta vs Sabadell prediction
Spain Segunda · Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:15 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Sabadell to win as the most likely result (47%). It gives Ceuta 22% at home, a draw 31% and Sabadell 47%, so its call is 2: Sabadell to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 29% / 30% / 41%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 0.7 for Ceuta and 1.2 for Sabadell; the single most likely score is 0-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Sabadell, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Ceuta
Attack 14th of 22, defence 21st of 22 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Castellon 2026-10-04
- W 3-1 v Sociedad B 2026-09-26
- D 1-1 v Valladolid 2026-09-20
- L 1-3 at Burgos 2026-09-11
- L 0-2 v Celta B 2026-09-05
Sabadell
Attack 18th of 22, defence 2nd of 22 in the league.
- D 0-0 v Andorra 2026-10-04
- D 1-1 at Celta B 2026-09-26
- W 3-1 v Oviedo 2026-09-20
- L 0-2 at Mallorca 2026-09-13
- W 3-2 v Cordoba 2026-09-07
From 1012 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sat 10 Oct
- Eldense vs Cordoba · FT 2–1
- Celta B vs Sociedad B · FT 4–1