Alloa vs Hamilton prediction
Scotland League One · Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called X2 ✓ (draw or away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Hamilton to win as the most likely result (39%). It gives Alloa 30% at home, a draw 30% and Hamilton 39%, so its call is X2: Hamilton to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 19% / 23% / 58%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.1 for Alloa and 1.3 for Hamilton; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Alloa
Attack 6th of 10, defence 4th of 10 in the league.
- L 1-4 at Ross County 2026-10-03
- L 1-2 v East Kilbride 2026-09-19
- L 0-1 at Airdrie Utd 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 at Cove Rangers 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 v Peterhead 2026-08-29
Hamilton
Attack 3rd of 10, defence 2nd of 10 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Peterhead 2026-10-03
- W 4-1 v Queen of Sth 2026-09-19
- W 1-0 at East Kilbride 2026-09-05
- W 1-0 v Cove Rangers 2026-08-29
- D 0-0 at East Fife 2026-08-22
From 404 league matches since 2024-08-03, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland League One games on Sat 10 Oct
- Cove Rangers vs East Fife · FT 1–1
- East Kilbride vs Airdrie Utd · FT 2–2
- Montrose vs Ross County · FT 0–5
- Peterhead vs Queen of Sth · FT 0–1