Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor prediction
Turkey Super Lig · Saturday 10 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Alanyaspor to win as the most likely result (61%). It gives Alanyaspor 61% at home, a draw 29% and Erzurumspor 10%, so its call is 1: Alanyaspor to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 49% / 29% / 22%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.4 for Alanyaspor and 0.4 for Erzurumspor; the single most likely score is 1-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Erzurumspor, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Alanyaspor
Attack 13th of 18, defence 6th of 18 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Corum 2026-09-19
- D 2-2 v Goztep 2026-09-12
- W 1-0 at Rizespor 2026-09-07
- L 1-2 at Eyupspor 2026-08-30
- W 1-0 v Besiktas 2026-08-23
Erzurumspor
Attack 18th of 18, defence 13th of 18 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Samsunspor 2026-09-20
- L 0-3 at Besiktas 2026-09-11
- W 1-0 v Konyaspor 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 at Genclerbirligi 2026-08-28
- L 0-4 v Galatasaray 2026-08-21
From 703 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Turkey Super Lig games on Sat 10 Oct
- Genclerbirligi vs Amedspor · FT 2–2
- Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor · FT 0–3
- Rizespor vs Fenerbahce · FT 0–3