Sp Braga vs Sp Lisbon prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Friday 9 October 2026, 21:15 WAT
Full timeSp Braga 1–3 Sp LisbonResult 2
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Sp BragaDrawSp Lisbon
Model 2 ✓
27%24%49%
Market 12 ✓
32%30%39%
Brit Predictor's model rates Sp Lisbon to win as the most likely result (49%). It gives Sp Braga 27% at home, a draw 24% and Sp Lisbon 49%, so its call is 2: Sp Lisbon to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 32% / 30% / 39%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.2 for Sp Braga and 1.7 for Sp Lisbon; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.2 – 1.7
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams score58%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Sp Braga
Attack 4th of 18, defence 5th of 18 in the league.
DWLWW
- D 0-0 at Santa Clara 2026-09-20
- W 1-0 v Estoril 2026-09-14
- L 1-2 at Estrela 2026-09-10
- W 2-1 at Alverca 2026-09-05
- W 1-0 v Guimaraes 2026-08-31
Sp Lisbon
Attack 1st of 18, defence 3rd of 18 in the league.
DDWWW
- D 2-2 v Arouca 2026-09-19
- D 1-1 at Famalicao 2026-09-13
- W 2-0 v Nacional 2026-09-05
- W 4-0 at Rio Ave 2026-08-28
- W 3-1 v Alverca 2026-08-22
From 674 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Portugal Primeira Liga games on Fri 9 Oct
- Moreirense vs Gil Vicente · FT 0–1