Lens vs Lyon prediction
France Ligue 1 · Friday 9 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
Full timeLens 2–1 LyonResult 1
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
LensDrawLyon
Model 1 ✓
43%26%31%
Market 12 ✓
38%26%37%
Brit Predictor's model rates Lens to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Lens 43% at home, a draw 26% and Lyon 31%, so its call is 1: Lens to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 38% / 26% / 37%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.6 for Lens and 1.3 for Lyon; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.6 – 1.3
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams score58%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Lens
Attack 7th of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.
LDLLW
- L 1-2 at Monaco 2026-09-18
- D 2-2 at Le Mans 2026-09-13
- L 0-1 v Lorient 2026-09-05
- L 1-2 at Strasbourg 2026-08-29
- W 5-2 v Auxerre 2026-08-22
Lyon
Attack 6th of 18, defence 3rd of 18 in the league.
WDWDW
- W 4-0 v Rennes 2026-09-19
- D 0-0 at Paris FC 2026-09-12
- W 3-1 v Auxerre 2026-09-04
- D 1-1 v Le Havre 2026-08-29
- W 2-0 at Toulouse 2026-08-22
From 657 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.