Dortmund vs Werder Bremen prediction
Germany Bundesliga · Friday 9 October 2026, 20:30 WAT
Full timeDortmund 2–2 Werder BremenResult X
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
DortmundDrawWerder Bremen
Model 1 ✗
72%17%10%
Market 1 ✗
72%17%11%
Brit Predictor's model rates Dortmund to win as the most likely result (72%). It gives Dortmund 72% at home, a draw 17% and Werder Bremen 10%, so its call is 1: Dortmund to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 72% / 17% / 11%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.4 for Dortmund and 0.8 for Werder Bremen; the single most likely score is 2-0.
Expected goals2.4 – 0.8
Most likely score2-0
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams score51%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Dortmund
Attack 3rd of 18, defence 3rd of 18 in the league.
WWWWW
- W 1-0 at Stuttgart 2026-09-19
- W 3-0 v Paderborn 2026-09-12
- W 3-2 at Hoffenheim 2026-09-05
- W 2-0 v Hamburg 2026-08-29
- W 2-0 at Werder Bremen 2026-05-16
Werder Bremen
Attack 14th of 18, defence 12th of 18 in the league.
WDWLL
- W 3-2 v Augsburg 2026-09-19
- D 1-1 at FC Koln 2026-09-12
- W 3-1 v RB Leipzig 2026-09-05
- L 1-4 at Freiburg 2026-08-30
- L 0-2 v Dortmund 2026-05-16
From 648 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.