Beveren vs Lommel SK prediction
Belgium Pro League · Friday 9 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called X2 ✓ (draw or away win): called it
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Lommel SK to win as the most likely result (36%). It gives Beveren 28% at home, a draw 36% and Lommel SK 36%, so its call is X2: Lommel SK to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 53% / 24% / 23%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 0.8 for Beveren and 0.9 for Lommel SK; the single most likely score is 0-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Beveren, Lommel SK, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Beveren
Attack 15th of 18, defence 15th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Kortrijk 2026-09-20
- W 2-0 v St Truiden 2026-09-12
- W 3-0 v Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2026-09-06
- L 0-4 at Genk 2026-08-28
- L 0-4 at Waregem 2026-08-22
Lommel SK
Attack 17th of 18, defence 2nd of 18 in the league.
- D 0-0 v Mechelen 2026-09-19
- L 0-5 at St. Gilloise 2026-09-12
- L 0-1 v Club Brugge 2026-09-04
- W 1-0 at Cercle Brugge 2026-08-29
- W 4-0 v Westerlo 2026-08-23
From 686 league matches since 2024-07-26, recent games weighted more.