Avellino vs Sampdoria prediction
Italy Serie B · Friday 9 October 2026, 20:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Avellino to win as the most likely result (45%). It gives Avellino 45% at home, a draw 31% and Sampdoria 24%, so its call is 1: Avellino to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 35% / 29% / 35%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.3 for Avellino and 0.9 for Sampdoria; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Avellino
Attack 14th of 20, defence 14th of 20 in the league.
- L 1-3 at Ascoli 2026-09-19
- D 1-1 v Palermo 2026-09-13
- W 1-0 at Modena 2026-09-06
- W 3-0 v Vicenza 2026-08-29
- L 1-2 v Arezzo 2026-08-22
Sampdoria
Attack 20th of 20, defence 10th of 20 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Catanzaro 2026-09-19
- L 0-2 at Mantova 2026-09-13
- L 1-3 at Palermo 2026-09-07
- L 1-2 v Juve Stabia 2026-08-29
- D 1-1 at Cesena 2026-08-23
From 810 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.