Brit Predictor

Airdrie Utd vs Montrose prediction

Scotland League One · Saturday 3 October 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeAirdrie Utd 1–0 MontroseResult 1

Who wins?

Airdrie UtdDrawMontrose
Model 12 ✓
35%32%34%
Market 1 ✓
50%25%25%

Brit Predictor's model rates Airdrie Utd to win as the most likely result (35%). It gives Airdrie Utd 35% at home, a draw 32% and Montrose 34%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 50% / 25% / 25%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.2 for Airdrie Utd and 1.1 for Montrose; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Airdrie Utd, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.2 – 1.1
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals40%
Both teams score48%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Airdrie Utd

Attack 10th of 10, defence 4th of 10 in the league.

WWLDL
  • W 2-1 at Peterhead 2026-09-19
  • W 1-0 v Alloa 2026-09-12
  • L 1-2 at Queen of Sth 2026-09-05
  • D 0-0 v East Fife 2026-08-29
  • L 1-3 v Ross County 2026-08-22

Montrose

Attack 5th of 10, defence 9th of 10 in the league.

WWWWW
  • W 2-1 at East Fife 2026-09-19
  • W 2-1 v Cove Rangers 2026-09-12
  • W 3-0 at Peterhead 2026-09-05
  • W 2-1 v Queen of Sth 2026-08-29
  • W 3-0 v East Kilbride 2026-08-22

From 399 league matches since 2024-08-03, recent games weighted more.

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