Eldense vs Oviedo prediction
Spain Segunda · Friday 2 October 2026, 20:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Oviedo to win as the most likely result (49%). It gives Eldense 22% at home, a draw 30% and Oviedo 49%, so its call is 2: Oviedo to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 38% / 30% / 32%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 0.7 for Eldense and 1.2 for Oviedo; the single most likely score is 0-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Eldense, Oviedo, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Eldense
Attack 21st of 22, defence 17th of 22 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Burgos 2026-09-27
- L 1-2 v Eibar 2026-09-19
- W 1-0 at Sp Gijon 2026-09-13
- D 0-0 v Mallorca 2026-09-05
- L 0-1 at Leganes 2026-08-29
Oviedo
Attack 11th of 22, defence 3rd of 22 in the league.
- W 2-0 v Sp Gijon 2026-09-27
- L 1-3 at Sabadell 2026-09-20
- W 3-0 at Valladolid 2026-09-13
- D 0-0 v Burgos 2026-09-06
- W 1-0 at Albacete 2026-08-29
From 1001 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.