Tamworth vs Sutton prediction
England National League · Wednesday 30 September 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Tamworth to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Tamworth 46% at home, a draw 23% and Sutton 31%, so its call is 1: Tamworth to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 35% / 25% / 40%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.8 for Tamworth and 1.4 for Sutton; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Tamworth
Attack 9th of 24, defence 23rd of 24 in the league.
- L 1-5 at Aldershot 2026-09-26
- W 2-1 v Wealdstone 2026-09-19
- L 1-3 at Southend 2026-09-15
- L 1-3 at Harrogate 2026-09-12
- D 2-2 v Boston Utd 2026-09-05
Sutton
Attack 19th of 24, defence 17th of 24 in the league.
- D 3-3 v Forest Green 2026-09-26
- D 1-1 at Halifax 2026-09-19
- W 2-1 v Eastleigh 2026-09-15
- L 0-2 v Scunthorpe 2026-09-12
- L 0-3 at Barrow 2026-09-05
From 1234 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.
More England National League games on Wed 30 Sep
- Eastleigh vs Southend · FT 1–1