Leganes vs Castellon prediction
Spain Segunda · Monday 28 September 2026, 20:30 WAT
Full timeLeganes 0–2 CastellonResult 2
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
LeganesDrawCastellon
Model 2 ✓
30%27%43%
Market 2 ✓
28%28%44%
Brit Predictor's model rates Castellon to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Leganes 30% at home, a draw 27% and Castellon 43%, so its call is 2: Castellon to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 28% / 28% / 44%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.0 for Leganes and 1.3 for Castellon; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.0 – 1.3
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams score47%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Leganes
Attack 20th of 22, defence 7th of 22 in the league.
WLDWW
- W 3-2 v Granada 2026-09-20
- L 0-2 at Tenerife 2026-09-13
- D 0-0 at Las Palmas 2026-09-04
- W 1-0 v Eldense 2026-08-29
- W 1-0 at Oviedo 2026-08-22
Castellon
Attack 3rd of 22, defence 9th of 22 in the league.
WWWWD
- W 5-0 v Tenerife 2026-09-19
- W 2-1 at Girona 2026-09-12
- W 2-0 v Albacete 2026-09-06
- W 2-1 at Celta B 2026-08-31
- D 0-0 v Sabadell 2026-08-23
From 1000 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.