Brit Predictor

Plymouth vs Burton prediction

England League One · Saturday 26 September 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timePlymouth 0–1 BurtonResult 2

Who wins?

PlymouthDrawBurton
Model 1 ✗
59%21%20%
Market 1 ✗
65%20%15%

Brit Predictor's model rates Plymouth to win as the most likely result (59%). It gives Plymouth 59% at home, a draw 21% and Burton 20%, so its call is 1: Plymouth to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 65% / 20% / 15%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.0 for Plymouth and 1.1 for Burton; the single most likely score is 2-1.

Expected goals2.0 – 1.1
Most likely score2-1
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams score58%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Plymouth

Attack 2nd of 24, defence 13th of 24 in the league.

WWWLW
  • W 4-2 at Blackpool 2026-09-19
  • W 3-0 v Barnsley 2026-09-12
  • W 3-2 at Doncaster 2026-09-05
  • L 0-2 at Leicester 2026-09-01
  • W 2-0 v Bradford 2026-08-29

Burton

Attack 16th of 24, defence 15th of 24 in the league.

DLDWL
  • D 2-2 v Mansfield 2026-09-19
  • L 0-3 at Oxford 2026-09-12
  • D 2-2 v Cambridge 2026-09-05
  • W 4-1 v AFC Wimbledon 2026-09-02
  • L 1-2 at Notts County 2026-08-29

From 1187 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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