Norwich vs Bolton prediction
England Championship · Sunday 20 September 2026, 14:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Norwich to win as the most likely result (61%). It gives Norwich 61% at home, a draw 22% and Bolton 17%, so its call is 1: Norwich to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 69% / 18% / 13%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.0 for Norwich and 1.0 for Bolton; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Bolton, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Norwich
Attack 5th of 24, defence 18th of 24 in the league.
- L 3-4 at Middlesbrough 2026-09-12
- W 2-1 v Birmingham 2026-09-09
- W 3-1 at Sheffield United 2026-09-05
- L 0-1 at Stoke 2026-09-01
- W 4-1 v Burnley 2026-08-29
Bolton
Attack 22nd of 24, defence 23rd of 24 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Cardiff 2026-09-12
- L 2-3 v West Ham 2026-09-08
- L 0-4 at Millwall 2026-09-05
- L 2-3 at Sheffield United 2026-09-01
- L 0-1 v Lincoln 2026-08-29
From 1197 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Sun 20 Sep
- Wolves vs West Brom · FT 1–0