Erzurumspor vs Samsunspor prediction
Turkey Super Lig · Sunday 20 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Samsunspor to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Erzurumspor 25% at home, a draw 29% and Samsunspor 46%, so its call is 2: Samsunspor to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 39% / 30% / 31%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.0 for Erzurumspor and 1.5 for Samsunspor; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Erzurumspor, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Erzurumspor
Attack 17th of 18, defence 18th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-3 at Besiktas 2026-09-11
- W 1-0 v Konyaspor 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 at Genclerbirligi 2026-08-28
- L 0-4 v Galatasaray 2026-08-21
- L 0-3 at Amedspor 2026-08-16
Samsunspor
Attack 9th of 18, defence 12th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-5 v Corum 2026-09-12
- L 0-1 at Kocaelispor 2026-09-06
- L 0-2 v Fenerbahce 2026-08-30
- W 2-0 at Rizespor 2026-08-22
- D 3-3 v Goztep 2026-08-17
From 698 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Turkey Super Lig games on Sun 20 Sep
- Fenerbahce vs Eyupspor · FT 8–0
- Amedspor vs Besiktas · FT 3–2
- Goztep vs Rizespor · FT 2–2