Cottbus vs St Pauli prediction
Germany 2. Bundesliga · Sunday 20 September 2026, 13:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Cottbus to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Cottbus 43% at home, a draw 22% and St Pauli 35%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 30% / 24% / 46%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.9 for Cottbus and 1.7 for St Pauli; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Cottbus, St Pauli, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Cottbus
Attack 3rd of 18, defence 18th of 18 in the league.
- W 3-0 at Karlsruhe 2026-09-13
- D 4-4 at Wolfsburg 2026-09-05
- L 3-4 v Greuther Furth 2026-08-29
- L 0-3 at Bielefeld 2026-08-16
- W 3-1 v Hannover 2026-08-09
St Pauli
Attack 12th of 18, defence 8th of 18 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Wolfsburg 2026-09-12
- D 2-2 at Bielefeld 2026-09-04
- L 1-2 v Kaiserslautern 2026-08-30
- D 2-2 at Holstein Kiel 2026-08-14
- D 1-1 v Greuther Furth 2026-08-09
From 663 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.
More Germany 2. Bundesliga games on Sun 20 Sep
- Bielefeld vs Heidenheim · FT 2–2
- Hannover vs Bochum · FT 2–1