AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar prediction
Netherlands Eredivisie · Sunday 20 September 2026, 14:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates AZ Alkmaar to win as the most likely result (59%). It gives AZ Alkmaar 59% at home, a draw 23% and Telstar 17%, so its call is 1: AZ Alkmaar to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 79% / 13% / 8%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 2.0 for AZ Alkmaar and 1.0 for Telstar; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
AZ Alkmaar
Attack 5th of 18, defence 5th of 18 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Willem II 2026-09-11
- W 3-2 at Heerenveen 2026-09-06
- W 5-2 v Go Ahead Eagles 2026-08-29
- W 2-0 at For Sittard 2026-08-22
- W 4-1 at Utrecht 2026-08-15
Telstar
Attack 14th of 18, defence 11th of 18 in the league.
- D 0-0 at Heerenveen 2026-09-13
- L 0-1 at Twente 2026-09-09
- D 2-2 v Cambuur 2026-09-06
- L 0-4 v Ajax 2026-08-30
- L 1-3 v Sparta Rotterdam 2026-08-14
From 671 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Netherlands Eredivisie games on Sun 20 Sep
- Feyenoord vs Utrecht · FT 5–0
- Twente vs PSV Eindhoven · FT 3–2
- Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles · FT 1–1